Breaking down the Week 5 matchup

The Dolphins have the best offense the Giants will face this season

John Schmeelk: Fact – Aside from maybe the 2007 Patriots, this might be the best offense the Giants may have faced since that time. They are ranked first in the NFL in points, yards, pass yards, rush yards, EPA, EPA per pass, EPA per rush, success rate overall, pass success rate, 15+ yard passes, yards per play on first down, rush plays of 50+ yards, and pressure rate allowed. Somehow Tua Tagovailoa has the second-lowest average time to throw in the NFL (2.34 seconds behind only Joe Burrow), but leads the league in yards per completion and yards per attempt. They are explosive and efficient running and passing the ball. Tua has not been great throwing under pressure but he gets the ball out so quick, he has only been pressured on 35 drop backs this season, including five sacks, according to PFF. As a point of comparison, Daniel Jones has been pressured on 79 dropbacks. It is likely that by the end of the season, defensive coordinators will have figured out some of the things Mike McDaniel is doing and this won’t look like the best offense of all-time, but right now, it sure does.

Dan Salomone: Fact – There’s a strong case to be made for San Francisco’s consistency, but you have to give it to Miami. Mike McDaniel’s team is on track to have one of those special offenses that get talked about years later.

Lance Medow: Fact – The Giants still have to play the Eagles twice as well as the Cowboys again plus the Bills next week so you can easily make an argument for any of those three other teams but, from a statistical standpoint, right now, the Dolphins display the best offense in football. They lead the NFL in points per game (37.5) and total yards (511), passing yards (334) and rushing yards (177) per contest. What other numbers do you need to see to be convinced that Miami poses many different challenges on that side of the ball? Tua Tagovailoa & Co. put up a near NFL-record 70 points against the Broncos in Week 3 and can hurt you as much on the ground with Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane as through the air, thanks to the likes of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Despite a bit of a setback against Buffalo last week, the Dolphins still produced three touchdowns. Even on their off days, they’re more than capable of sticking with teams because of their ability to rely on explosive plays through various facets.

Matt Citak: Fact – The Dolphins’ offense could be the best unit we have seen in the NFL in years. Heading into Week 5, Miami’s offense leads the league in both points and yards. Not only that, but they also have the No. 1 passing attack and the No. 1 run game. The Dolphins have gained 2,044 total yards of offense, the most by a team in their first four games in NFL history, including two games with over 530. With potentially the NFL’s best WR duo in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle and the league’s top RB duo in De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert, it’s hard to argue against Miami having the best offense in the entire NFL this year.

The Dolphins’ rushing attack will be tougher to defend than their passing game

John Schmeelk: Fact – You’ve already read about their passing game, so let’s choose their running game here. The Dolphins are averaging an NFL-high 6.3 yards per rush. Their 20 runs of 10+ yards is tied for second in the NFL, and their seven 20+ yard runs is also second. They already have three runs of 50 or more yards in just four weeks. Raheem Mostert is their bell cow with 249 yards on 48 carries. Rookie De’Von Achane is a threat to score every time he touches the ball, with an otherworldly 11.4 yards per carry average and four touchdowns on just 27 carries.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – The real answer is both. That’s what makes the offense historic through four games. But it’s still a pass-first team.

Lance Medow: Fact – Miami showcases a two-headed monster in the backfield with Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane, who have already combined for 10 rushing touchdowns in just four games. Both players are physical with the ability to reach another gauge in the speed department once they hit the hole. Although Tyreek Hill is fast, slippery and elusive, given the Giants’ recent issues with missed tackles, let’s lean toward the ground attack. If they don’t wrap up Moster and Achane consistently, runs that should go for about three or four yards will turn into big chunk plays and that will be a major issue as it will keep the Dolphins in favorable downs-and-distances and allow them to open up the passing game even more. Miami head coach Mike McDaniel came over from San Francisco where the Niners were known for pounding the ball and he’s trying to implement that philosophy in South Florida this season. That’s the facet the Giants need to slow down.

Matt Citak: Fiction – It wouldn’t be fair to classify one area of the Dolphins’ offense as tougher to defend than the other; they are both incredibly difficult matchups. Next Gen Stats tracks the maximum speed reached by players on every play. When looking at the top five fastest ball carriers of the 2023 season, they have one thing in common – they are all on the Dolphins. Achane (twice), Hill (twice) and Mostert make up the five fastest recorded speeds in the NFL this season, while Waddle is only a little bit further down the list. If you have to give the edge to one area of the Miami offense, lean toward the passing game. There’s a reason why Wink Martindale referred to the Dolphins as the “2023 supersonic” version of the Rams’ Greatest Show on Turf.

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