How Andrea Orcel Can Counter Fading Tailwinds at UniCredit

Andrea Orcel has seen UniCredit Group SpA’s share price more than treble in his first three years as the Italian bank’s chief executive officer. But Orcel isn’t running victory laps; nor should he be.

What the former head of UBS Group AG’s investment bank has achieved so far was the easy part. Finding low-risk, sustainable growth from here is no slam dunk. The bank has plenty of spare capital to both invest and keep shareholders happy with generous cash returns. There’s still a chance that Orcel, the career dealmaker, could try to land a splashy takeover to transform UniCredit, but he has a better chance of leaving a positive legacy by continuing to modernize its operations while keeping a tight lid on lending risk.

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