Loss to UNC imperils Virginia’s NCAA tournament hopes

CHARLOTTESVILLE — Late in the first half of Saturday’s slog against North Carolina, Virginia’s Reece Beekman drew a foul from Cormac Ryan as he passed to teammate Isaac McKneely in the right corner. Clearly after the whistle, McKneely causally heaved the ball toward the basket.

Make a meaningless shot, miss virtually everything else. Such was the story of UVa’s afternoon.

Check that. Such has been the story of Virginia’s last two weeks, a stretch of historically bad offense that prompts an unavoidable question?

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Are the Cavaliers shooting themselves out of an NCAA tournament bid?

With 27.6% overall accuracy, and 14.3% beyond the 3-point arc, they certainly shot themselves out of a chance to defeat the 10th-ranked Tar Heels.

“Just continue to take the good shots when they’re there,” guard Reece Beekman said of potential remedies after the 54-44 setback.

But no matter how open, shots are difficult to make when you’re confidence has bottomed out, and clearly that’s the case with Virginia (20-8, 11-6 ACC).

In one stunning first-half stretch, the Cavaliers missed 22 of 23 attempts. Layups, mid-range jumpers, 3-pointers: Every shot imaginable, they missed.







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Virginia’s Isaac McKneely with the ball in the University of Virginia vs. University North Carolina Men’s Basketball Game at John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024.




The lone bucket in that gruesome stretch? Blake Buchanan’s uncontested dunk.

Were Saturday an isolated hiccup, only alarmists would fret. But since an 80-76 victory at Florida State two weeks ago, the team’s eighth straight, Virginia is 1-3.

The win in that span, 49-47 over Wake Forest? Even that bordered on unwatchable.

Two days later at Virginia Tech, UVa lost 75-41, its most-lopsided conference loss since a 99-54 shellacking at North Carolina in 2006.

Here’s how bad the Cavaliers were in Blacksburg: Their offensive efficiency of .66 points per possession was their worst since a 65-39 loss to Florida in the second round of the 2017 NCAA tournament, where they averaged .65 points per possession.

Moreover, they lagged defensively as Virginia Tech scored 1.21 points per possession, UVa’s third-worst defensive performance of the season.

Hey, if you’re going to faceplant, might as well do so at both ends of the floor and get it out of your system, right?


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Returning to John Paul Jones Arena figured to energize Virginia, and North Carolina’s woes here — eight consecutive setbacks — have been well-documented. But occasional lapses notwithstanding, the first-place Tar Heels (21-6, 13-3) are the ACC’s premier team.

They have the best blend of veteran and young talent, and they’re the lone conference squad ranked among Division I’s top 20 in adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency.

Guard RJ Davis is the prohibitive favorite to win ACC player-of-the-year honors, and center Armando Bacot (Trinity Episcopal) is a double-double machine. Thanks to Beekman, Jordan Minor and Bacot’s early foul trouble, the Cavaliers limited Davis (1 of 14 from the field) and Bacot to 22 points combined, but Ryan’s 18 points, on six made 3s, and Davis’ clutch free throws were more than enough to trump Virginia’s feeble offense (.73 points per possession).

Of the 10 Cavaliers who played, only Minor (5 of 9) made more than one-third of his shots as the Cavaliers scored fewer than 50 points for the third straight outing.

Only one other ACC team in the shot-clock era, Wake Forest in 1985-86, has scored fewer than 50 in three consecutive league games. And that was with a 45-second clock.

Those Deacons, by the way, finished 8-21, 0-14 in the ACC. Not good company for Virginia.

Opponents are “figuring some things out that are making it tough for us,” UVa coach Tony Bennett said.

Indeed, defenses are ganging up on the McKneely and Jacob Groves, the Cavaliers’ exceptional 3-point shooters, daring others to beat them. Since the Florida State victory, in which McKneely scored a career-high 29 points and Groves added 10 off the bench, McKneely is 5 of 19 from deep, and Groves has scored nine points.

Virginia has three regular-season games remaining: at Boston College on Wednesday, at Duke on Saturday and home against Georgia Tech the following Saturday. What it will take to secure an at-large NCAA bid hinges on many components, not the least of which is what transpires elsewhere around the country.

But this much is certain: Bennett and his staff must continue to search for ways not only to create better shots but also to restore the Cavaliers’ confidence.

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